Politični poslovni cikel v lokalnih upravah v tranziciji in gospodarstvih v razvoju. Pregled literature in empirična študija za Poljsko
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.4335/20.4.1057-1082Ključne besede:
lokalne uprave, politični cikel, fiskalna manipulacija, državna poraba, naložbe lokalne uprave, civilno zdravjePovzetek
Teorija političnih poslovnih ciklov v demokratičnih sistemih kaže, da so politiki spodbujeni k delovanju z različnimi ekonomskimi instrumenti za pridobivanje volivcev ali zagotovitev ponovne izvolitve. Takšni pojavi se dogajajo tudi na ravni lokalne uprave, pri čemer obstoječi upravljavci manipulirajo z obsegom izdatkov, naložb ali zneska dolga, ki je nastal pred volitvami. V tem članku se osredotočamo na analizo naložb lokalne uprave, saj je to eden najbolj prožnih delov proračuna, zato obstaja močna spodbuda, da se ga uporabi kot instrument podpore na volitvah. Na podlagi panelnih podatkov za tri celotne volilne cikle na Poljskem smo preverjali, ali obstaja razmerje med velikostjo naložbenega proračuna in fazo volilnega cikla. Rezultati analize kažejo, da je volilni cikel tudi kot ena sama pojasnjevalna spremenljivka pomemben dejavnik, ki pojasnjuje lokalno javno naložbeno ravnanje. Povzroča nihanja lokalnih naložb za več kot 20 % glede na njihovo povprečno raven. To potrjuje obstoj močno političnega proračunskega cikla v poljskih lokalnih upravah. Ker to zagotavlja tudi dokaze o iskanju politične najemnine, naše ugotovitve podajajo splošno utemeljitev za omejitev števila mandatov obstoječih upravljavcev v lokalnih organih.
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2022-11-02
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Politični poslovni cikel v lokalnih upravah v tranziciji in gospodarstvih v razvoju. Pregled literature in empirična študija za Poljsko. (2022). Lex Localis - Journal of Local Self-Government, 20(4), 1057-1082. https://doi.org/10.4335/20.4.1057-1082
