HOW CAN OMANI SOFT POWER MITIGATE CONFLICTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AMID RISING MILITARY TENSIONS BETWEEN THE US AND IRAN IN 2026?

Abstract

Purpose: This paper explores the potential of Oman regarding its role as a soft power in the diplomatic process as a useful tool to reduce conflict in the event of the intensification of military confrontations between the United States and Iran in 2026.

Methodology: The study applies the qualitative research approach, which consists of analyzing documents regarding the diplomatic communication and policy statements, as well as documents of the time, and the opinions of regional diplomacy experts, to evaluate the mediation practices of Oman and their topicality.

Findings: The study establishes four sustainable pillars of Omani soft power, which are strategic neutrality through non-alignment, cultural diplomacy based on the Ibadi traditions of tolerance, geographic advantage via the Strait of Hormuz, and an established history of backchannel facilitation. Although regional realignments and leadership changes have occurred, Oman has mediating potential, which provides avenues of de-escalation by establishing trust, having a confidential dialogue, and providing neutralizing venues.

Practical Implications: The paper proposes realistic policies that should be adopted by policymakers and the international community, trying to avoid military conflict, which may entail the use of Omani media to initiate preliminary negotiations and confidence-building.

Originality/Value: Balancing the experience and the current geopolitical situation, the study provides new insights into the role of a small state, Oman, as a go-between and an opportunity in order to restore stability in the region, one of the most unstable fields in the world.